Niche

Cozy + Exploration

Games tagged both Cozy and Exploration: 87 indie paid launches, 24 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Cozy + Exploration priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Cozy and beats Exploration.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Cozy + Exploration trails Cozy and beats Exploration: 42.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 45.0 in 100 for Cozy and 20.1 in 100 for Exploration.

That is about 2.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

1STWinner

Tag oneCozy

45.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds45.0 in 100

Typical earnings$62,342

Launches131 / 59 hits

Pair trails by2.1 in 100

2NDRunner-up

This pairCozy + Exploration

42.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds42.9 in 100

Typical earnings$43,313

Launches42 / 18 hits

Expected18.6 in 100

3RDThird

Tag twomood tagExploration

20.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.1 in 100

Typical earnings$11,535

Launches988 / 199 hits

Pair leads by22.8 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices87 in pair Under $520 in pair $5 to $1021 in pair $10 to $2042 in pair$20 to $404: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Cozy and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 42.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 46.1 for Cozy-only games and 19.1 for Exploration-only games, so the mix trails Cozy alone and beats Exploration alone.

Both: 42 games priced $10 to $20; 42.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $43,313.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Hello Kitty Island Adventureleads this pair28.3%

PairHello Kitty Island Adventure28.3%

CozyHello Kitty Island Adventure9.7%

ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong20.7%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Cozy + Exploration

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Hello Kitty Island Adventure earned 28.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 87 Cozy + Exploration launches.
It also leads Cozy, with 9.7% of that tag's money.
Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 20.7% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Cozy + Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Cozy + Exploration through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view86 of 87 launches	Without the breakout86 of 87 launches	Last 18 months54 of 87 launches
Launches counted	8724 hits	8623 hits	8623 hits	5414 hits
Earned $100k+	27.6 in 100	26.7 in 100	26.7 in 100	25.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$12,110top tenth $615,202+	$12,110	$12,110	$9,508
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-3.3%0.9 fewer in 100	-3.3%0.9 fewer in 100	-6.2%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-21.5%$2,602 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 87 launches.

Launches counted: 8724 hits
Earned $100k+: 27.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $12,110top tenth $615,202+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 8623 hits
Earned $100k+: 26.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $12,110
Chance against standard: -3.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (28.3% of the money): 86 launches left.

Launches counted: 8623 hits
Earned $100k+: 26.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $12,110
Chance against standard: -3.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 87.

Launches counted: 5414 hits
Earned $100k+: 25.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $9,508
Chance against standard: -6.2%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -21.5%$2,602 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 87 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (28.3% of the money): 86 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 87.

Cozy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Cozy through every lens, all prices
Cozy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view646 of 651 launches	Without the breakout650 of 651 launches	Last 18 months431 of 651 launches
Launches counted	65188 hits	64684 hits	65087 hits	43150 hits
Earned $100k+	13.5 in 100	13.0 in 100	13.4 in 100	11.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,119top tenth $199,431+	$2,101	$2,119	$1,942
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-3.7%0.5 fewer in 100	-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-14.1%1.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-0.8%$18 less	0.0%no change	-8.4%$177 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 6 to 30 months old: 651 launches.

Launches counted: 65188 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,119top tenth $199,431+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 651 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 64684 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,101
Chance against standard: -3.7%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.8%$18 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.7% of the money): 650 launches left.

Launches counted: 65087 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,119
Chance against standard: -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 431 of 651.

Launches counted: 43150 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,942
Chance against standard: -14.1%1.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -8.4%$177 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 6 to 30 months old: 651 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 651 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.7% of the money): 650 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 431 of 651.

Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
Exploration	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches	Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches	Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches
Launches counted	5,078397 hits	4,867377 hits	5,077396 hits	2,727190 hits
Earned $100k+	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.7 in 1001 in 13	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$908top tenth $58,608+	$909	$902	$728
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100	0.0%no change	-10.3%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	+0.1%$1 more	-0.7%$6 less	-19.8%$180 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.

Launches counted: 5,078397 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $908top tenth $58,608+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,867377 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $909
Chance against standard: -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.1%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.

Launches counted: 5,077396 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $902
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -0.7%$6 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.

Launches counted: 2,727190 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $728
Chance against standard: -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -19.8%$180 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Cozy + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.