Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Casual / Trading Card Game
Casual + Trading Card Game: 57 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 1 of 49 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 73% on the year before: 57 against 33.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 57 33 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 106 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 291 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.88xhits against expected | 0.71x to 1.59x | 49 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,535 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 49
- Hit rate
- 2.0%0.0% to 3.9%
- Expected rate
- 3.1%
- Against expected
- 0.88x0.71x to 1.59x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
49 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $242
- Top tenth
- $3,907
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +73%
Parent tags
- CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Trading Card GameGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,608 reviews, 64% positiveest. $259k
- NOVEMS (opens the Steam store)2025 · 42 reviews, 85% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Monstrix TCG Card Shop (opens the Steam store)2026 · 34 reviews, 55% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Rip N Ship Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 22 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 34 reviews, 61% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Card Collection Simulator (opens the Steam store)2025 · 21 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Dreamy Duels ~ Tales of Heroes in Gensoukyo (opens the Steam store)2024 · 26 reviews, 65% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection (opens the Steam store)2026 · 27 reviews, 74% positiveest. $1k to $10k
More with Casual
pairs with Casual- Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
Related niches
pairs with Trading Card Game- Trading Card Game + Card Battler$40436 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Trading Card Game$37932 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Trading Card Game$27848 launches priced, 125 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Trading Card Gameno price56 releases in 12 months
- Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tacticsno price56 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Trading Card Gameno price48 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.