Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Casual / Real Time Tactics
Casual + Real Time Tactics: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 93 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 0 of 159 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 9% on the year before: 125 against 115.
- Price
- $202 median of 93 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +66.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 125 115 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 222 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 731 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.33xhits against expected | 0.33x to 0.62x | 159 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,786 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 159
- Hit rate
- 0.0%0.0% to 0.0%
- Expected rate
- 3.9%
- Against expected
- 0.33x0.33x to 0.62x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
158 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $192
- Top tenth
- $2,863
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +9%
Parent tags
- CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Real Time TacticsGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Minimalist Tower Defense (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,839 reviews, 94% positiveest. $186k
- Just Another Night Shift (opens the Steam store)2024 · 956 reviews, 91% positiveest. $135k
- Dawson Oaks Trailer Park (opens the Steam store)2026 · 347 reviews, 89% positiveest. $70k
- Dice People (opens the Steam store)2025 · 726 reviews, 90% positiveest. $44k
- NAMAKORIUM (ナマコリウム) (opens the Steam store)2026 · 148 reviews, 93% positiveest. $36k
- Bean Beasts (opens the Steam store)2025 · 113 reviews, 89% positiveest. $32k
- ATC Ground Point (opens the Steam store)2024 · 78 reviews, 82% positiveest. $25k
- MOCHI-O (opens the Steam store)2026 · 232 reviews, 99% positiveest. $23k
More with Casual
pairs with Casual- Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
Related niches
pairs with Real Time Tactics- War + Real Time Tactics$2,22531 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
- Action RTS + Real Time Tactics$98130 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- Real Time Tactics + Roguelite$84643 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Real Time Tactics$76858 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Real Time Tactics + Wargame$72849 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Real Time Tactics$685103 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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