Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Card Game / Turn-Based Strategy
Card Game + Turn-Based Strategy: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 129 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 15 of 244 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 16.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 83% on the year before: 288 against 157.
- Price
- $405 median of 129 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −80.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 288 157 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 715 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,534 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.10% | 25 ranked of 715 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,989 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.94xhits against expected | 0.68x to 1.33x | 244 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,173 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −48% to −20% | 37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,235 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −13%review growth against same-age games | −22% to −5% | 37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,418 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 244
- Hit rate
- 6.1%3.1% to 8.4%
- Expected rate
- 6.6%
- Against expected
- 0.94x0.68x to 1.33x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
244 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $556
- Top tenth
- $35,825
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +83%
- Against Steam
- +34%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Card GameGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
Monster Train 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,681 reviews, 95% positiveest. $3.9M
StarVaders (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,774 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.7M
Cobalt Core (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,082 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.7M
Cross Blitz (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,560 reviews, 74% positiveest. $726k
Decktamer (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,095 reviews, 86% positiveest. $559k
As We Descend (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,367 reviews, 86% positiveest. $553k
Deck of Haunts (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,226 reviews, 84% positiveest. $496k
FrostBound (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,198 reviews, 82% positiveest. $364k
More with Card Game
pairs with Card Game- Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,32394 launches priced, 164 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
More with Turn-Based Strategy
pairs with Turn-Based Strategy- Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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