Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Arcade + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $707 in its first year

That is the median of 187 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 13 of 388 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 12.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 100% on the year before: 399 against 200.

Price: $707
Price vs a year earlier: −30.0%
Releases, 12 months: 399
Upcoming games: 799
Games on the store: 1,815

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Arcade + Roguelite on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.19%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.13% to 0.25%	30 ranked of 799 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,094 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.02xhits against expected	0.72x to 1.47x	388 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,698 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−39%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−50% to −27%	34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,263 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−11%review growth against same-age games	−24% to +8%	34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,323 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 13
Expected: 12.8

Launches: 388
Hit rate: 3.4%1.7% to 6.1%
Expected rate: 3.3%
Against expected: 1.02x0.72x to 1.47x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

388 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $647
Top tenth: $18,345

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 399
Prior 12 months: 200

Change: +100%
Against Steam: +46%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

ArcadeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
RogueliteGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Arcade

pairs with Arcade

Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Arcade

More with Roguelite

pairs with Roguelite

Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Roguelite

Verdicts

in development

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