Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Arcade + Flight: a typical launch earns $162 in its first year
That is the median of 60 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 130 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 45% on the year before: 97 against 67.
- Price
- $162 median of 60 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −19.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 97 67 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 185 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 714 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.09% | 14 ranked of 185 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,459 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.61xhits against expected | 0.45x to 1.09x | 130 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,190 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 130
- Hit rate
- 1.5%0.0% to 4.2%
- Expected rate
- 4.0%
- Against expected
- 0.61x0.45x to 1.09x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
130 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $202
- Top tenth
- $3,181
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +45%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Aero GPX (opens the Steam store)2024 · 749 reviews, 97% positiveest. $303k
- G-Rebels (opens the Steam store)2026 · 267 reviews, 79% positiveest. $162k
- ROGUE FLIGHT (opens the Steam store)2024 · 279 reviews, 96% positiveest. $113k
- Phantom Spark (opens the Steam store)2024 · 207 reviews, 96% positiveest. $84k
- Wild Blue Skies (opens the Steam store)2026 · 269 reviews, 58% positiveest. $82k
- Air Twister (opens the Steam store)2023 · 101 reviews, 93% positiveest. $51k
- Skies above the Great War (opens the Steam store)2024 · 141 reviews, 73% positiveest. $34k
- BEHEMOTH (opens the Steam store)2024 · 415 reviews, 88% positiveest. $34k
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Flight
pairs with Flight- Simulation + Flight$30461 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Action + Flight$24265 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Flight$20268 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Flight$12153 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Flight$12131 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Flight$12137 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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