Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Action + Cinematic: a typical launch earns $809 in its first year
That is the median of 82 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 12 of 158 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 6% on the year before: 94 against 100.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $809 median of 82 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +48.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 94 100 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 408 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 840 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 6.30%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 2.25% to 11.43% | 61 ranked of 408 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #24 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.11xhits against expected | 0.78x to 1.60x | 158 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,156 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +68%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +30% to +111% | 36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #66 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +17%review growth against same-age games | +9% to +28% | 36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #75 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 158
- Hit rate
- 7.6%3.2% to 11.4%
- Expected rate
- 6.7%
- Against expected
- 1.11x0.78x to 1.60x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
158 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $809
- Top tenth
- $20,902
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −6%
- Against Steam
- −30%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Over The Top: WWI (opens the Steam store)2026 · 6,708 reviews, 84% positiveest. $2.6M
- METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 5,458 reviews, 89% positiveest. $2.2M
- MindsEye (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,864 reviews, 48% positiveest. $1.9M
- METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,367 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.8M
- METAL GEAR SOLID 2: Sons of Liberty - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,580 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.4M
- Call to Arms: Panzer Elite (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,002 reviews, 69% positiveest. $1.2M
- Hail to the Rainbow (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,548 reviews, 90% positiveest. $773k
- Gunman Contracts - Stand Alone (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,478 reviews, 78% positiveest. $748k
More with Action
pairs with Action- Action + Mechs$7,85932 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- Action + Co-op$3,733172 launches priced, 259 releases in 12 months
- Action + Team-Based$2,97239 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Action + Metroidvania$2,893107 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Action + Fighting$2,52840 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
More with Cinematic
pairs with Cinematic- Cinematic + Immersive Sim$24,23132 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cinematic$5,00947 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Interactive Fiction$4,18748 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cinematic$4,03368 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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