Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
3D + Violent: a typical launch earns $798 in its first year
That is the median of 40 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 83 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 14% on the year before: 43 against 50.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $798 median of 40 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +31.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 43 50 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 185 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 443 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.18%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.34% | 17 ranked of 185 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,149 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.90xhits against expected | 0.62x to 1.49x | 83 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,421 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 83
- Hit rate
- 4.8%2.4% to 8.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.8%
- Against expected
- 0.90x0.62x to 1.49x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
83 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $8
- Median
- $605
- Top tenth
- $32,832
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −14%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- GORN 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 663 reviews, 86% positiveest. $268k
- Shadows of the Damned: Hella Remastered (opens the Steam store)2024 · 524 reviews, 88% positiveest. $265k
- Weird RPG 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 798 reviews, 92% positiveest. $161k
- Captain Blood (opens the Steam store)2025 · 268 reviews, 77% positiveest. $136k
- SHE WAS 98 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 472 reviews, 85% positiveest. $76k
- Berserker Onslaught (opens the Steam store)2026 · 316 reviews, 58% positiveest. $64k
- Speedball (opens the Steam store)2024 · 98 reviews, 71% positiveest. $60k
- SiN Reloaded (opens the Steam store)2026 · 90 reviews, 93% positiveest. $55k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
More with Violent
pairs with Violent- Adventure + Violent$1,33571 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Violent$1,20862 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
- Gore + Violent$1,20874 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
- Action + Violent$1,111102 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Violent$82842 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Violent$34438 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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