Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

3D + Space Sim: a typical launch earns $151 in its first year

That is the median of 36 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 76 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 53% on the year before: 66 against 43.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $151
Price vs a year earlier: −28.6%
Releases, 12 months: 66
Upcoming games: 175
Games on the store: 446

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

3D + Space Sim on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.09%	7 ranked of 175 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,349 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.66xhits against expected	0.49x to 1.17x	76 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,944 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 2
Expected: 4.6

Launches: 76
Hit rate: 2.6%1.2% to 8.9%
Expected rate: 6.0%
Against expected: 0.66x0.49x to 1.17x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

76 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $202
Top tenth: $15,834

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 66
Prior 12 months: 43

Change: +53%

Parent tags

3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Space SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

More with Space Sim

pairs with Space Sim

Exploration + Space Sim$54631 launches priced, 81 releases in 12 months
Space + Space Sim$40446 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Space Sim$36360 launches priced, 131 releases in 12 months
Action + Space Sim$32334 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
Sci-fi + Space Sim$22230 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Casual + Space Sim$6140 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Space Sim

Verdicts

in development

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