Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + JRPG: a typical launch earns $967 in its first year
That is the median of 154 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 302 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 27.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 1% on the year before: 194 against 195.
- Price
- $967 median of 154 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +59.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 194 195 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 497 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,573 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.38%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.25% to 0.55% | 54 ranked of 497 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #618 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.39xhits against expected | 0.27x to 0.59x | 302 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,753 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +38%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +21% to +59% | 69 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #334 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +2%review growth against same-age games | −7% to +10% | 69 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #732 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 302
- Hit rate
- 3.0%1.0% to 6.4%
- Expected rate
- 9.2%
- Against expected
- 0.39x0.27x to 0.59x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
302 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $719
- Top tenth
- $25,496
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −1%
- Against Steam
- −26%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Felvidek (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,612 reviews, 98% positiveest. $1.2M
- OFF (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,114 reviews, 95% positiveest. $945k
- Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - (opens the Steam store)2025 · 609 reviews, 98% positiveest. $432k
- 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,696 reviews, 90% positiveest. $417k
- STARDUST: Wish of Witch (opens the Steam store)2026 · 740 reviews, 80% positiveest. $374k
- The Rhapsody of Zephyr Remastered (opens the Steam store)2026 · 306 reviews, 96% positiveest. $248k
- Aooni (opens the Steam store)2024 · 933 reviews, 77% positiveest. $189k
- Tunnel Escape (opens the Steam store)2024 · 407 reviews, 77% positiveest. $165k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with JRPG
pairs with JRPG- JRPG + Female Protagonist$6,70840 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + JRPG$3,22737 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + JRPG$2,42851 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- JRPG + Cute$2,42841 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + JRPG$2,20440 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Anime + JRPG$1,71895 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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