Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Cozy: a typical launch earns $755 in its first year
That is the median of 46 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 101 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 198% on the year before: 152 against 51.
- Price
- $755 median of 46 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −78.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 152 51 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 360 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 627 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.23%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.09% to 0.46% | 19 ranked of 362 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,936 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.35xhits against expected | 0.92x to 2.19x | 101 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,137 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 101
- Hit rate
- 5.0%1.8% to 8.4%
- Expected rate
- 2.9%
- Against expected
- 1.35x0.92x to 2.19x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
101 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $80
- Median
- $927
- Top tenth
- $35,528
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +198%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Winter Burrow (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,870 reviews, 89% positiveest. $1.2M
- Galaxy Burger (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,460 reviews, 96% positiveest. $562k
- The Last Gas Station (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,341 reviews, 87% positiveest. $380k
- Paper Trail (opens the Steam store)2024 · 736 reviews, 94% positiveest. $298k
- The Crimson Diamond (opens the Steam store)2024 · 657 reviews, 96% positiveest. $199k
- Moldwasher (opens the Steam store)2026 · 895 reviews, 91% positiveest. $163k
- Tukoni: Forest Keepers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 756 reviews, 99% positiveest. $153k
- Everholm (opens the Steam store)2024 · 297 reviews, 75% positiveest. $120k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Cozy
pairs with Cozy- Life Sim + Cozy$34,02737 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Building + Cozy$14,48232 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Management + Cozy$9,50833 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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