Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Combat: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 144 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 307 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 14.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 39% on the year before: 244 against 176.
- Price
- $202 median of 144 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −9.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 244 176 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 544 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,358 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.18%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.11% to 0.28% | 23 ranked of 544 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,134 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.62xhits against expected | 0.43x to 0.96x | 307 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,144 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 307
- Hit rate
- 2.6%0.6% to 5.5%
- Expected rate
- 4.8%
- Against expected
- 0.62x0.43x to 0.96x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
307 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $201
- Top tenth
- $14,376
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +39%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Voidwrought (opens the Steam store)2024 · 944 reviews, 78% positiveest. $382k
- BIOMORPH (opens the Steam store)2024 · 648 reviews, 91% positiveest. $262k
- Iron Saga VS (opens the Steam store)2025 · 376 reviews, 79% positiveest. $228k
- Forestrike (opens the Steam store)2025 · 925 reviews, 91% positiveest. $187k
- Divinum (opens the Steam store)2026 · 565 reviews, 86% positiveest. $172k
- The Spirit of the Samurai (opens the Steam store)2024 · 413 reviews, 59% positiveest. $167k
- Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival (opens the Steam store)2024 · 826 reviews, 77% positiveest. $167k
- Tombwater (opens the Steam store)2026 · 286 reviews, 92% positiveest. $145k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Combat
pairs with Combat- Combat + Action RPG$1,57755 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Combat$1,20546 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Combat$1,17356 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + Combat$80946 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Combat + Beat 'em up$80933 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Combat$76896 launches priced, 139 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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